Cliftonville vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
4º
6º
5º
83
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 8 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 7 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 6 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
68 | 3 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 2 |
6º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
60% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
40% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
9%
21%
70%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
GLE
41%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 2
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 0
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 0
LIN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |