Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Cliftonville vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 3
CLI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
4 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
OSI
2 - 0
HNK
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HNK
5 - 0
NKC
71%
20%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
MEI
0 - 2
HNK
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HNK
2 - 0
DZG
24%
25%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
KAR
3 - 0
HNK
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |