Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
10º
3º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |