Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 3
CLI
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
CLI
3 - 0
GLE
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CLI
3 - 1
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
POR
3 - 3
CLI
30%
25%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
BAL
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
DUN
71%
20%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
DON
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 1
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |