Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 2
CLI
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
DON
1 - 3
CLI
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 2
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
48%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
DUN
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |