Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
CLI
26%
27%
48%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
CLI
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 2
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 2
CLI
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 3
WAR
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DUN
4 - 2
WAR
46%
22%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 0
DUN
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
COL
0 - 3
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 0
COL
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |