Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
COL
1 - 1
CLI
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CLI
2 - 3
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CLI
2 - 1
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
4 - 0
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
6 - 2
INS
53%
22%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIN
23%
24%
54%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |