Cliftonville vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 1
ARD
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 4
BAL
68%
19%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
CLI
5 - 3
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
DON
4 - 0
WAK
72%
17%
12%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DON
2 - 2
LIS
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DON
0 - 2
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 1
DON
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 2
DON
80%
13%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |