Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
8º
3º
55
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 4
CLI
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 4
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
CRU
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
LAR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
60%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
CRU
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |