Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
CLI
14%
23%
63%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 2
CLI
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CLI
4 - 3
COL
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CLI
2 - 1
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 4
CRU
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
WAR
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 2
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |