Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CLI
5 - 0
GLE
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CLI
2 - 0
GLE
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 3
CLI
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 0
CLI
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 0
CRU
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |