Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
COL
3 - 3
CLI
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CLI
0 - 2
BAL
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLI
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
CLI
4 - 0
LIN
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
CLI
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 4
LIN
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
NEW
63%
20%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |