Cliftonville vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
8º
3º
41
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 2
CLI
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
4 - 0
LOU
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
CLI
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CLI
3 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
10%
20%
70%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
GLE
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GLE
6 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 3
CLI
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
LOU
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |