Cliftonville vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
4º
6º
5º
59
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 8 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 7 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 6 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
68 | 3 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
|
6º
|
59 | 2 |
6º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
60% | 40% |
|
Play-offs
|
40% | 60% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
9%
21%
70%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 1
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |