Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
10º
3º
37
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COL
3 - 1
CLI
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CLI
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CLI
6 - 1
WAR
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CLI
4 - 0
BAN
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 3
DAC
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 4
ARD
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |