Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
4 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CLI
2 - 3
QUE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 3
CLI
13%
19%
67%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
CLI
11%
22%
67%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
LAR
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 0
BAN
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 2
CAR
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |