Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CLI
5 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CLI
4 - 1
DUN
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
4 - 1
CLI
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 3
DON
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 1
ARD
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIM
48%
23%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DON
1 - 2
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
5 - 1
SYL
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |