Cliftonville vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
CLI
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 4
CLI
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ARC
3 - 6
BAN
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAN
2 - 0
BAN
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
BAN
5 - 3
CAR
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CSF
5 - 3
BAN
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 2
LIS
34%
23%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |