Cliftonville vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CLI
1 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 3
CLI
19%
20%
62%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CLI
2 - 2
WAR
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CLI
6 - 0
ARF
92%
6%
2%
|
70 | 16 | 54 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLI
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 3
CLI
19%
20%
62%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
POR
5 - 5
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
4 - 0
CSF
85%
11%
5%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 4
GLE
42%
24%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |