Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-5
Cliftonville vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 0
DIF
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
DIF
1 - 1
CLI
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
CLI
25%
25%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 0
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CLI
1 - 3
CRU
41%
25%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 3
AEK
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
3 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
0 - 0
OMO
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
4 - 0
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 1
AEK
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |