Clermont II vs Olympique de Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
11º
9º
24
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 2
HAL
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CLE
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 4
LIM
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
AIN
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 4
FEU
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OVA
3 - 0
CHA
18%
21%
60%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 1
OVA
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 2
LYO
11%
18%
71%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
OVA
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 1
ESM
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |