Clermont II vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
8º
14º
14º
24
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
89% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
4 - 0
CLE
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CLE
0 - 2
CHA
32%
26%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 0
CLE
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 6
BOU
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CLE
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
THO
0 - 0
LYO
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SEY
3 - 1
LYO
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
3 - 2
LIM
70%
18%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
LYO
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |