Clermont vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
RAC
3 - 2
CLE
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
CLE
2 - 0
GAZ
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
CLE
2 - 2
SOC
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
AMI
1 - 1
CLE
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2000 |
VAL
1 - 0
CLE
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
ASS
3 - 3
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
STR
3 - 3
TRO
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ASN
1 - 2
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |