Clermont vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
14º
7º
10
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 48 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 35 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 33 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 20% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 0
CLE
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
DUN
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
PFC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
CLE
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 2
PAU
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
ANN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 2
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
BRE
24%
25%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 4
RED
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |