Clermont vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
3 - 3
CLE
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
CLE
3 - 0
STL
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CLE
5 - 0
CSL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
RAO
0 - 0
CLE
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
SÈT
1 - 3
CLE
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
STR
2 - 0
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 2
LHA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
GUI
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
LUS
0 - 0
GUI
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |