Clermont vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
14º
7º
9
7º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 48 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 35 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 33 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
PFC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
CLE
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 2
PAU
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
4 - 1
CLE
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 3
PFC
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ROD
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 2
DUN
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
ANN
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
ZUL
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
5 - 1
AMI
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |