Clermont vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
VAN
1 - 3
CLE
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CLE
1 - 0
TOF
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CLE
2 - 1
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
SÈT
2 - 3
CLE
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CLE
2 - 1
CSL
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
DUN
0 - 1
VES
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
OLY
1 - 1
DUN
20%
25%
56%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 2
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 1
DUN
19%
26%
56%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
DUN
5 - 2
SCH
68%
20%
11%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |