Clermont vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
CLE
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
VAN
1 - 1
CLE
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
CLE
2 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
CLE
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CLE
3 - 0
SED
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
STL
5 - 0
ARL
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
CSL
3 - 3
ARL
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
ARL
1 - 0
ROD
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PAC
0 - 0
ARL
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ARL
0 - 1
CAL
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |