Clermont vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
15º
13º
24
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 27.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
3 - 2
CLE
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CLE
1 - 1
STL
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FCM
0 - 1
CLE
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
CLE
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 0
CLE
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ROD
1 - 2
AJA
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
CAE
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
4 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 2
ANN
24%
27%
50%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
AJA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |