Clemency vs US Mondorf les Bains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
86.7%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.2%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.7%
0-6
3.4%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clemency
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
JEU
4 - 3
CLE
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 4
RUM
4%
8%
89%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CLE
4 - 3
COL
61%
19%
21%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
CLE
1 - 3
JEU
17%
18%
66%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CLE
2 - 5
BET
37%
21%
43%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
US Mondorf les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 4
USM
21%
23%
55%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
USM
1 - 1
UNA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 0
USM
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USM
3 - 2
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 5
USM
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |