Claypole vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
YUP
1 - 0
CLA
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CLA
1 - 0
CAM
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CBA
1 - 1
CLA
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CLA
0 - 0
CAA
35%
26%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MUÑ
0 - 2
CLA
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
JUU
37%
27%
36%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ARM
3 - 1
LUG
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
PUE
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 0
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 2
LIN
35%
27%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |