Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
83.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
7º
7º
47
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clarence Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CZF
2 - 2
LAU
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
CZF
28%
20%
52%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 0
CZF
93%
5%
2%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
6 - 1
CZF
93%
6%
2%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CZF
0 - 6
DEV
5%
11%
84%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 2
KIN
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 3
SOU
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ROF
0 - 4
GLE
7%
12%
80%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NWS
3 - 0
GLE
37%
23%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
5 - 2
LAU
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |