Cjarlins Muzane vs Chions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
18º
15º
41
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cjarlins Muzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
CJA
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
CJA
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CJA
0 - 1
MON
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BV5
1 - 0
CJA
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CJA
1 - 1
MSS
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Chions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
ACE
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
USB
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CLO
1 - 0
CHI
77%
17%
6%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 3
TRE
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
CHI
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -3 |