CIVO United vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CIVO United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MOY
3 - 0
CIV
42%
27%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CIV
3 - 0
DDY
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
EHF
1 - 0
CIV
43%
25%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 0
MWF
37%
28%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
CIV
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAM
3 - 1
FOM
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 1
KAM
47%
26%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MWF
1 - 1
KAM
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KAM
0 - 0
AZT
41%
29%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 1
KAM
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |