Civitanovese vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
CIV
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 3
OLY
33%
26%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 1
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
ASD
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |