Civitanovese vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
3 - 0
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 4
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
CIV
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
CIV
48%
24%
27%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAT
45%
25%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 2
JES
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 3
MAT
18%
21%
62%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |