Civitanovese vs Isernia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
14º
18º
16º
20
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
55% | 58.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 0
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 0
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANC
0 - 1
CIV
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 3
BFM
35%
26%
40%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 3
CIV
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ISE
0 - 4
SSS
23%
23%
54%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SOR
3 - 4
ISE
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ISE
2 - 1
TER
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +4 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
ISE
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ISE
1 - 4
TER
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |