Civitanovese vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
JES
3 - 2
CIV
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 0
ALF
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 0
CIV
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
0 - 2
SAM
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
CIV
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
OLY
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAS
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |