Ciudad Vícar vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad Vícar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NIJ
2 - 1
VIC
73%
18%
9%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 5
EST
9%
19%
72%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 5
LOJ
17%
26%
56%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NER
2 - 0
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
ARE
36%
26%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
7 - 0
NER
72%
18%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ARE
2 - 0
MAR
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
CAS
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAL
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |