UDC Torredonjimeno vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
18º
10º
28
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 78 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 46 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 35 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 26 |
17º
|
43% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDC Torredonjimeno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
POL
3 - 1
TOR
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 3
RJA
18%
23%
59%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
TOR
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
CDL
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 2
ATL
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 0
ARE
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 2
UDT
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 4
ARE
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +3 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
HUE
43%
24%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |