Ciudad Rodrigo vs CD Villaralbo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
17º
16º
30
1º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 72 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 69 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 66 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 50 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 50 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 49 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 49 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 44 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 39 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
62.5% | |
|
19º
|
7 | 19 |
19º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad Rodrigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CIU
1 - 1
CFB
46%
24%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CDM
1 - 0
CIU
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 1
BUR
23%
25%
53%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LVC
1 - 2
CIU
64%
22%
14%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 1
CDL
60%
21%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villaralbo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SDA
2 - 1
VIL
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
TOR
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +4 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
ACF
13%
22%
66%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AST
3 - 1
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |