Ciudad vs Monesterio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
PLA
1 - 0
CPL
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CPL
1 - 1
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
DBN
4 - 0
CPL
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CPL
0 - 4
BAD
28%
25%
46%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 2
CPL
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
MON
1 - 2
SAM
63%
22%
16%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 0
MON
74%
18%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
MON
1 - 2
CRE
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 5
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
MON
3 - 1
CPA
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |