Ciudad de Lucena vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 2
CDL
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 3
CDL
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CDL
2 - 1
CRD
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SRQ
1 - 0
CDL
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CDL
1 - 0
SEV
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
UTR
3 - 1
CDA
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 0
POZ
79%
15%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LAP
1 - 2
UTR
21%
25%
55%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
COR
0 - 0
UTR
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VRU
1 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |