Ciudad de Lucena vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
REC
2 - 3
CDL
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDL
0 - 1
CEU
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
XER
3 - 4
CDL
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CDL
4 - 0
ALG
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +5 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LEB
1 - 1
CDL
69%
20%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
CAD
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SRQ
1 - 1
UTR
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 0
CDG
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 1
UTR
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UTR
2 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |