Ciudad de Lucena vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CDA
0 - 2
CDL
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CDL
1 - 0
CIS
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
POZ
0 - 1
CDL
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CDL
3 - 0
ECI
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CDL
4 - 2
XER
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SRQ
1 - 2
SEV
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
SRQ
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SRQ
1 - 0
CEU
36%
25%
40%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
BET
3 - 2
SRQ
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
SRQ
2 - 3
REC
18%
23%
60%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | -1 |