Ciudad de Lucena vs CD Rota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 2
CDL
19%
25%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
CDL
44%
23%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 1
UTR
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDT
0 - 3
CDL
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 1
REC
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Rota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CDR
1 - 0
CAC
37%
21%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 1
CDR
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CDR
1 - 1
UDT
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
REC
3 - 0
CDR
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDR
1 - 2
CRD
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |