Ciudad de Lucena vs Cabecense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDL
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CDL
2 - 1
CDA
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CIS
3 - 2
CDL
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CDL
2 - 1
ALC
71%
17%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDL
1 - 1
CAD
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAB
0 - 1
CAD
25%
25%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SRQ
1 - 2
CAB
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 1
CDG
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 2
CAB
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAB
2 - 0
ESP
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |