Ciudad de Lucena vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 1
CDL
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CDL
2 - 0
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 1
CDL
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CDL
3 - 2
REC
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CEU
4 - 0
CDL
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAD
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SRQ
0 - 1
ARC
62%
21%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ARC
4 - 1
CDG
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARC
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 5
ESP
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |