Ciudad de Lucena vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CDG
0 - 1
CDL
25%
25%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CDL
0 - 2
XER
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LEB
2 - 1
CDL
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CDL
4 - 1
CAB
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 0
CDL
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
ALG
2 - 0
CRD
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CEU
3 - 2
ALG
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CDG
2 - 3
ALG
19%
25%
57%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALG
1 - 0
XER
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
LEB
1 - 1
ALG
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |