Ciudad de Lucena vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDL
1 - 1
CAD
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SRQ
4 - 3
CDL
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CDL
1 - 2
CDG
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
CDL
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CDL
4 - 3
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
REC
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAD
0 - 0
ALC
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
CEU
22%
27%
51%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
SRQ
4 - 1
ALC
75%
15%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
XER
31%
24%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |